Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 19:30
13.0831.0%
X3.6925.9%
22.2143.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
WLLDWLWWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
M'gladbach
DDWDDDLLWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.90
Against
4.50
9.20
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.50goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.60
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.70goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.50
9.20
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.90
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.60
Match total
25.20

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
3.90
On target
4.80
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%26.3%-4.7 pp
Draw25.9%38.6%+12.7 pp
Away43.2%35.1%-8.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.281.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.3%
2-28.8%
2-18.8%
1-08.8%
0-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.465.33
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.7%
Away53.3%