Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-21 · 19:30
13.0831.0%
X3.6925.9%
22.2143.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hoffenheim
WLLDWLWWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
M'gladbach
DDWDDDLLWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.90
Against
4.50
9.20
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
1.50goals per matchM'gladbach conceded1.60Matchup
M'gladbach attack
1.70goals per matchHoffenheim conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.50
9.20
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.90
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
27.60
Match total
25.20
Shots
9.30N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
3.90
On target
4.80
16%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%26.3%-4.7 pp
Draw25.9%38.6%+12.7 pp
Away43.2%35.1%-8.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS66.7%
Historical average
1.28–1.54
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.3%
2-28.8%
2-18.8%
1-08.8%
0-07.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.46–5.33
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.27
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.7%
Away53.3%