Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 14:30
11.3968.6%
X5.0518.9%
27.6512.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
LLLWDWDWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Werder Bremen
LLWDLWLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
2.30
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
2.60
Against
5.00
8.80
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.60
3.40
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.80goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.60
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.20goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.00
8.80
Match total
7.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
24.30
Match total
25.60

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
5.50
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.6%58.6%-10.0 pp
Draw18.9%31.0%+12.1 pp
Away12.5%10.3%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.531.0%
BTTS62.1%

Historical average

2.101.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.2%
2-010.3%
3-010.3%
1-110.3%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.833.59
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.4%
Over 9.569.0%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.541.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away27.3%