Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 17:30
11.6458.3%
X3.9124.5%
25.5517.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
WLDWLWDLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
FC Koln
WDLWLWLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
2.30
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.80
Against
5.10
9.20
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
2.00
3.40
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.90goals per match
FC Koln conceded2.00
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.70goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.10
9.20
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.60
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
24.10
Match total
23.20

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
6.20
On target
3.00
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.3%50.8%-7.5 pp
Draw24.5%25.4%+1.0 pp
Away17.2%23.7%+6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.510.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.6%
1-113.6%
0-110.2%
1-08.5%
2-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.533.95
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.0%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.547.5%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.6%31.7%–72.7% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.4%
Away52.6%