Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 14:30
12.3041.6%
X3.4028.1%
23.1530.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Union Berlin
DDWDWDDDWD
3W 7D 0L · 1.60 PPM
Stuttgart
WWLWLLLWDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.20
Against
4.10
8.90
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Union Berlin attack
1.40goals per matchStuttgart conceded1.90Matchup
Stuttgart attack
1.60goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.10
8.90
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
25.40
Match total
24.00
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
4.40
On target
5.80
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches228
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.6%46.1%+4.5 pp
Draw28.1%27.6%-0.5 pp
Away30.3%26.3%-4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS53.9%
Historical average
1.54–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.0%
1-010.1%
2-010.1%
2-18.3%
1-27.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.68–4.56
Average total10.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=228.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.534.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.8%23.5%–46.0% CI
Draw FT41.5%30.4%–53.7% CI
Away FT24.6%15.8%–36.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals50.8%
3+ goals21.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.5%
Away44.6%