Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 14:30
11.6956.5%
X3.9424.2%
24.9419.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
DWWWDWWLLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Schalke 04
DLDLLDDLLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
2.70
70%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
2.10
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.70
Against
5.40
6.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
2.70
3.20
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

2.10goals per match
Schalke 04 conceded2.70
Matchup

Schalke 04 attack

0.90goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.40
6.90
Match total
10.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
27.60
Match total
26.60

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.50
On target
2.50
18%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches129
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.5%55.8%-0.7 pp
Draw24.2%21.7%-2.5 pp
Away19.3%22.5%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.730.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.6%
2-110.9%
2-010.9%
1-19.3%
1-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.044.16
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=129.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches35
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%25.6%–56.4% CI
Draw FT34.3%20.8%–50.8% CI
Away FT25.7%14.2%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals22.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.7%
Away42.9%