Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-12 · 19:30
12.8733.2%
X3.5726.7%
22.3840.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
DWLLDWLWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Leverkusen
WWWWLLLDWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.60
1.40
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
6.60N=10
5.20
Against
3.00
9.70
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.20
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.80goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.60goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.00
9.70
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
28.30
Match total
22.40

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.70
On target
4.60
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.2%38.5%+5.2 pp
Draw26.7%25.6%-1.1 pp
Away40.1%35.9%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS74.4%

Historical average

1.561.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.4%
2-112.8%
1-112.8%
2-27.7%
2-37.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.744.56
Average total9.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away75.0%