Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 17:00
13.0331.5%
X3.2629.3%
22.4439.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
LLDLLDWLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Mainz
WLDLDLDWDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.20
Against
3.90
8.70
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.00goals per match
Mainz conceded1.50
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.30goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.90
8.70
Match total
7.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.90
Match total
3.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
25.90
Match total
26.60

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
2.70
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches178
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.5%33.7%+2.2 pp
Draw29.3%21.9%-7.4 pp
Away39.2%44.4%+5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS43.8%

Historical average

1.041.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.1%
1-112.4%
1-09.6%
2-17.9%
2-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.655.02
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=178.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.534.3%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.1%21.4%–45.2% CI
Draw FT23.2%14.1%–35.8% CI
Away FT44.6%32.4%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.3%
Away53.6%