Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 14:30
13.1530.4%
X3.5027.3%
22.2642.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hertha
LWDWLLLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
M'gladbach
LDDWDDDLLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.80
1.80
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.10
Against
4.00
9.40
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.40goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.80
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.80goals per match
Hertha conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.00
9.40
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.30
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
27.30
Match total
25.00

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
6.00
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.4%27.0%-3.4 pp
Draw27.3%28.7%+1.4 pp
Away42.3%44.3%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.537.4%
BTTS60.9%

Historical average

1.271.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
1-210.4%
2-28.7%
0-36.1%
0-26.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.805.33
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.561.7%
Over 10.547.8%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%7.3%–33.6% CI
Draw FT40.0%24.6%–57.7% CI
Away FT43.3%27.4%–60.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away70.0%