Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-09 · 19:30
12.9432.6%
X3.2029.9%
22.5537.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bielefeld
WLLWWLLDLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Freiburg
LDWWLLDWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.50
Against
4.80
8.70
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bielefeld attack

0.70goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.40
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.00goals per match
Bielefeld conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.80
8.70
Match total
8.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.50
Match total
3.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
23.90
Match total
26.40

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
2.80
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches175
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%31.4%-1.1 pp
Draw29.9%34.3%+4.4 pp
Away37.5%34.3%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.151.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.9%
0-112.0%
0-09.1%
1-08.6%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.834.82
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=175.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.8%22.1%–45.6% CI
Draw FT48.3%35.9%–60.8% CI
Away FT19.0%10.9%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals39.7%
3+ goals15.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.2%
Away51.7%