Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 17:00
12.5137.9%
X3.2229.6%
22.9332.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Union Berlin
WDDWDWDDDW
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Hertha
WDDLLDLDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.40
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
5.00
Against
5.60
9.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.80goals per match
Hertha conceded1.40
Matchup

Hertha attack

0.70goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.60
9.00
Match total
9.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.60
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
25.50
Match total
28.20

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.90
On target
3.30
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches189
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%40.2%+2.3 pp
Draw29.6%29.6%+0.1 pp
Away32.5%30.2%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS50.3%

Historical average

1.291.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
0-111.6%
1-011.6%
2-110.1%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.984.79
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=189.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.4%14.7%–35.1% CI
Draw FT42.2%30.9%–54.4% CI
Away FT34.4%23.9%–46.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals40.6%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.9%
Away64.1%