Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 19:30
11.8152.7%
X3.9224.3%
24.1622.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
DWDLWWWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Freiburg
DLDWWLLDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.30
Against
5.20
9.40
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.70goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.30
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.00goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.20
9.40
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.60
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
23.70
Match total
26.20

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.90
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.7%60.3%+7.6 pp
Draw24.3%25.4%+1.1 pp
Away22.9%14.3%-8.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.541.3%
BTTS65.1%

Historical average

2.111.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
2-011.1%
2-19.5%
3-19.5%
2-29.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.083.92
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.9%31.0%–73.8% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals76.5%
3+ goals35.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.4%
Away47.1%