Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 14:30
11.8053.1%
X3.6426.2%
24.6220.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
DDLLLLWWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Bielefeld
LLLLWDLDLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
2.10
20%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.10
Against
4.80
8.90
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
2.00
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.80goals per match
Bielefeld conceded2.10
Matchup

Bielefeld attack

0.90goals per match
Mainz conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.80
8.90
Match total
8.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.00
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
28.20
Match total
27.60

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
3.70
On target
2.40
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.1%52.6%-0.4 pp
Draw26.2%36.8%+10.6 pp
Away20.7%10.5%-10.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS45.6%

Historical average

1.700.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
2-014.0%
1-012.3%
0-010.5%
3-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.954.40
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.545.6%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.521.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI
Draw FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Away FT5.6%1.0%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals5.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away16.7%