Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 14:30
11.2377.6%
X6.4814.7%
212.457.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
DWLDWLWDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Schalke 04
LDLDLLDDLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
2.80
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.50
Against
5.60
9.00
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
2.80
3.10
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.70goals per match
Schalke 04 conceded2.80
Matchup

Schalke 04 attack

0.80goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.60
9.00
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
25.40
Match total
26.40

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
6.20
On target
2.30
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.6%75.8%-1.8 pp
Draw14.7%18.2%+3.5 pp
Away7.7%6.1%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.597.0%
Over 2.578.8%
Over 3.542.4%
BTTS60.6%

Historical average

2.580.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-121.2%
4-015.2%
1-19.1%
3-09.1%
2-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.792.48
Average total9.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.542.4%
Over 9.536.4%
Over 10.530.3%
Over 11.524.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals41.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away50.0%