Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 14:30
11.7953.3%
X3.9923.9%
24.2022.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dortmund
WLLLWDWDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ein Frankfurt
DDLWWDWWLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
2.20
1.40
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.50
2.50
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
5.60N=10
2.60
Against
4.10
8.50
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dortmund attack
2.00goals per matchEin Frankfurt conceded1.40Matchup
Ein Frankfurt attack
2.20goals per matchDortmund conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
1.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
2.60
Corners against
4.10
8.50
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.60
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
24.20
Match total
27.80
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.50
On target
5.30
14%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.3%60.0%+6.7 pp
Draw23.9%13.3%-10.6 pp
Away22.7%26.7%+3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS60.0%
Historical average
1.67–1.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-126.7%
3-013.3%
3-113.3%
1-36.7%
2-06.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.87–4.67
Average total9.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.526.7%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.3%
Away50.0%