Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 17:00
11.9648.6%
X3.5526.9%
23.8924.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
LDWWWDWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Augsburg
LDLWWLLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.60
Against
4.60
7.40
Total
7.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
3.40
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

2.00goals per match
Augsburg conceded1.60
Matchup

Augsburg attack

0.90goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.60
7.40
Match total
7.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.40
Match total
3.50
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
26.00
Match total
25.90

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.80
On target
2.90
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches239
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.6%46.9%-1.8 pp
Draw26.9%25.1%-1.7 pp
Away24.5%28.0%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.461.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.8%
2-111.3%
1-19.6%
0-19.6%
0-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.414.63
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=239.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.533.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches90
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%24.5%–43.6% CI
Draw FT34.4%25.4%–44.7% CI
Away FT32.2%23.5%–42.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals34.4%
3+ goals18.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away48.9%