Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 14:30
13.5027.2%
X3.5127.1%
22.0845.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hertha
DLWDWLLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Leverkusen
WWWWWLLLDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.70
1.90
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.90
Against
3.20
9.60
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.90
Goals conceded
0.80
3.10
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hertha attack
1.20goals per matchLeverkusen conceded0.80Matchup
Leverkusen attack
1.70goals per matchHertha conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.20
9.60
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
26.60
Match total
21.20
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.50
On target
4.90
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.2%25.0%-2.2 pp
Draw27.1%31.0%+3.9 pp
Away45.7%44.0%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.531.0%
BTTS65.5%
Historical average
1.20–1.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.7%
1-214.3%
0-09.5%
1-07.1%
2-36.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.33–5.56
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.531.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI
Draw FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Away FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.2%
2+ goals60.9%
3+ goals26.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.2%
Away60.9%