Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 14:30
13.5027.2%
X3.5127.1%
22.0845.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hertha
DLWDWLLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Leverkusen
WWWWWLLLDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.70
1.90
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.90
Against
3.20
9.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.90
Goals conceded
0.80
3.10
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.20goals per match
Leverkusen conceded0.80
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.70goals per match
Hertha conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.20
9.60
Match total
9.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
26.60
Match total
21.20

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.50
On target
4.90
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.2%25.0%-2.2 pp
Draw27.1%31.0%+3.9 pp
Away45.7%44.0%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.531.0%
BTTS65.5%

Historical average

1.201.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
1-214.3%
0-09.5%
1-07.1%
2-36.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.335.56
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.0%4.5%–32.1% CI
Draw FT60.9%40.8%–77.8% CI
Away FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.2%
2+ goals60.9%
3+ goals26.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away60.9%