Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 12:30
11.9249.7%
X3.7125.7%
23.8824.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
LDWLLDWLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Mainz
LWLDLDLDWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.90
Against
4.10
9.50
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.30
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.80goals per match
Mainz conceded1.70
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.20goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.10
9.50
Match total
7.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.50
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
28.90
Match total
26.20

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.00
On target
4.30
17%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.7%47.2%-2.5 pp
Draw25.7%34.8%+9.1 pp
Away24.6%18.0%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.531.5%
BTTS58.4%

Historical average

1.750.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.3%
1-07.9%
0-17.9%
2-27.9%
3-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.224.69
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.7%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI
Draw FT48.1%30.7%–66.0% CI
Away FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away63.0%