Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 14:30
16.9913.6%
X4.8019.8%
21.4366.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
DLLDLLDWLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Dortmund
WDWLWLLLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
2.20
1.50
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
2.60
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.80
Against
4.50
9.00
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
4.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.90goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.90
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.20goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.50
9.00
Match total
8.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.20
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
28.00
Match total
21.40

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.00
On target
5.70
9%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.6%20.5%+6.8 pp
Draw19.8%22.7%+2.9 pp
Away66.6%56.8%-9.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.001.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.6%
0-311.4%
1-111.4%
0-49.1%
1-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.326.50
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.8%
Away76.9%