Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 14:30
16.9913.6%
X4.8019.8%
21.4366.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
FC Koln
DLLDLLDWLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Dortmund
WDWLWLLLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
2.20
1.50
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
2.60
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.80
Against
4.50
9.00
Total
8.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
2.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
4.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
FC Koln attack
0.90goals per matchDortmund conceded1.90Matchup
Dortmund attack
2.20goals per matchFC Koln conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.50
9.00
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.20
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
28.00
Match total
21.40
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.00
On target
5.70
9%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.6%20.5%+6.8 pp
Draw19.8%22.7%+2.9 pp
Away66.6%56.8%-9.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.00–1.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.6%
0-311.4%
1-111.4%
0-49.1%
1-26.8%
Comparable corner averages
3.32–6.50
Average total9.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.92
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals30.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.8%
Away76.9%