Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 17:30
11.5063.6%
X4.5820.8%
26.1515.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WWLLLWDWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Hertha
LWDDLLDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.60
2.60
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.80
Against
5.60
8.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
2.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.20goals per match
Hertha conceded1.40
Matchup

Hertha attack

0.80goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.60
8.30
Match total
9.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.60
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
16.50N=10
24.50
Match total
29.50

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
5.80
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches57
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.6%70.2%+6.5 pp
Draw20.8%19.3%-1.5 pp
Away15.5%10.5%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.0%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.550.9%
BTTS64.9%

Historical average

2.610.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-114.0%
2-112.3%
2-010.5%
1-18.8%
5-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.334.02
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=57.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away60.0%