Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 14:30
12.6436.2%
X3.3228.8%
22.7235.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LDDLLLLWWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Freiburg
LDLDWWLLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.40
Against
5.50
9.50
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.40
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.90goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.60
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.00goals per match
Mainz conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.50
9.50
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.40
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
27.10
Match total
24.20

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
3.70
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches237
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.2%31.2%-4.9 pp
Draw28.8%27.4%-1.3 pp
Away35.1%41.4%+6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS56.1%

Historical average

1.191.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
1-211.4%
0-110.5%
1-010.5%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.324.57
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=237.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.4%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.3%21.1%–41.3% CI
Draw FT30.3%21.1%–41.3% CI
Away FT39.5%29.2%–50.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.5%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals19.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away60.5%