Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 17:00
13.9624.1%
X3.3828.2%
22.0047.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bielefeld
LLLWLLWWLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Union Berlin
DWWLDWLLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.90
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
7.70
Against
4.20
10.20
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bielefeld attack

0.90goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.20
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.30goals per match
Bielefeld conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.50N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
7.70
Corners against
4.20
10.20
Match total
7.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.40
Match total
4.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
23.50
Match total
26.40

Shots

8.30N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
2.60
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.1%33.3%+9.2 pp
Draw28.2%17.9%-10.3 pp
Away47.7%48.7%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.510.3%
BTTS38.5%

Historical average

0.971.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.4%
0-115.4%
1-112.8%
1-212.8%
0-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.774.46
Average total8.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.541.0%
Over 9.530.8%
Over 10.520.5%
Over 11.510.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away61.5%