Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 17:00
13.9624.1%
X3.3828.2%
22.0047.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bielefeld
LLLWLLWWLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Union Berlin
DWWLDWLLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.30
1.90
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
2.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
7.70
Against
4.20
10.20
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bielefeld attack
0.90goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded1.20Matchup
Union Berlin attack
1.30goals per matchBielefeld conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.50N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
7.70
Corners against
4.20
10.20
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.40
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
23.50
Match total
26.40
Shots
8.30N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
2.60
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.1%33.3%+9.2 pp
Draw28.2%17.9%-10.3 pp
Away47.7%48.7%+1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.510.3%
BTTS38.5%
Historical average
0.97–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.4%
0-115.4%
1-112.8%
1-212.8%
0-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.77–4.46
Average total8.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.541.0%
Over 9.530.8%
Over 10.520.5%
Over 11.510.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away61.5%