Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 17:30
11.6557.9%
X4.3821.8%
24.6920.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bayern Munich
WWDDWWWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Dortmund
WWDWLWLLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

3.40
Scored
2.20
1.60
Conceded
1.50
90%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.10
3.00
2H goals
2.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.00
Against
3.90
11.30
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.40
Goals scored
2.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
5.00
Total goals
3.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.40goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.50
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.20goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
2.30
2H goals scored
1.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.00
Corners against
3.90
11.30
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.00
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.00
Match total
21.80

Shots

17.30N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
7.80
On target
6.40
20%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.9%45.5%-12.4 pp
Draw21.8%22.7%+0.9 pp
Away20.4%31.8%+11.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.540.9%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

1.861.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-013.6%
0-29.1%
3-09.1%
0-19.1%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.914.27
Average total11.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.559.1%
Over 10.554.5%
Over 11.545.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%38.8%–75.5% CI
Draw FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Away FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away45.8%