Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 17:30
11.6557.9%
X4.3821.8%
24.6920.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bayern Munich
WWDDWWWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Dortmund
WWDWLWLLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
3.40
Scored
2.20
1.60
Conceded
1.50
90%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
80%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.10
3.00
2H goals
2.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
8.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.00
Against
3.90
11.30
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.40
Goals scored
2.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
5.00
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
3.40goals per matchDortmund conceded1.50Matchup
Dortmund attack
2.20goals per matchBayern Munich conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
2.30
2H goals scored
1.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.00
Corners against
3.90
11.30
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.00
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.00
Match total
21.80
Shots
17.30N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
7.80
On target
6.40
20%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.9%45.5%-12.4 pp
Draw21.8%22.7%+0.9 pp
Away20.4%31.8%+11.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.540.9%
BTTS45.5%
Historical average
1.86–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-013.6%
0-29.1%
3-09.1%
0-19.1%
2-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.91–4.27
Average total11.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.559.1%
Over 10.554.5%
Over 11.545.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%38.8%–75.5% CI
Draw FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Away FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.67
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home75.0%
Away45.8%