Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 14:30
15.0418.9%
X3.9824.0%
21.6757.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Freiburg
LLDWWWDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
RB Leipzig
WLDDWWDLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.80
1.50
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.00
Against
4.30
8.10
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.70
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Freiburg attack
2.20goals per matchRB Leipzig conceded1.00Matchup
RB Leipzig attack
1.80goals per matchFreiburg conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.30
8.10
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.60
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
25.80
Match total
24.70
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
5.20
On target
5.90
17%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.9%21.3%+2.4 pp
Draw24.0%21.3%-2.7 pp
Away57.1%57.4%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS57.4%
Historical average
0.96–1.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.9%
1-212.8%
0-110.6%
1-410.6%
1-08.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.74–5.45
Average total9.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.3%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.531.9%
Over 11.521.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away61.5%