Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 14:30
15.0418.9%
X3.9824.0%
21.6757.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
LLDWWWDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
RB Leipzig
WLDDWWDLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.80
1.50
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
2.10
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.00
Against
4.30
8.10
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.70
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

2.20goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.00
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

1.80goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.30
8.10
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.60
Match total
3.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
25.80
Match total
24.70

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
5.20
On target
5.90
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.9%21.3%+2.4 pp
Draw24.0%21.3%-2.7 pp
Away57.1%57.4%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

0.961.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-212.8%
0-110.6%
1-410.6%
1-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.745.45
Average total9.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.3%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.531.9%
Over 11.521.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away61.5%