Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-05 · 19:30
13.4727.6%
X3.5427.0%
22.1145.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Schalke 04
DLLLLWLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Mainz
LLWLDLDLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.20
2.20
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.30
Against
4.30
8.50
Total
7.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded
2.10
2.80
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Schalke 04 attack
0.60goals per matchMainz conceded2.10Matchup
Mainz attack
1.20goals per matchSchalke 04 conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.30
8.50
Match total
7.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
24.70
Match total
26.00
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.90
On target
4.10
5%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.6%26.1%-1.5 pp
Draw27.0%24.3%-2.7 pp
Away45.4%49.6%+4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS53.9%
Historical average
1.09–1.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-111.3%
0-211.3%
1-211.3%
0-08.7%
1-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.48–5.10
Average total9.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%12.6%–38.3% CI
Draw FT41.0%27.1%–56.6% CI
Away FT35.9%22.7%–51.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals59.0%
3+ goals20.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.6%
Away64.1%