Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-03-05 · 19:30
13.4727.6%
X3.5427.0%
22.1145.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Schalke 04
DLLLLWLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Mainz
LLWLDLDLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.20
2.20
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.30
Against
4.30
8.50
Total
7.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded
2.10
2.80
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Schalke 04 attack

0.60goals per match
Mainz conceded2.10
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.20goals per match
Schalke 04 conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
1.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.30
8.50
Match total
7.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
24.70
Match total
26.00

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.90
On target
4.10
5%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.6%26.1%-1.5 pp
Draw27.0%24.3%-2.7 pp
Away45.4%49.6%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

1.091.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.3%
0-211.3%
1-211.3%
0-08.7%
1-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.485.10
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%12.6%–38.3% CI
Draw FT41.0%27.1%–56.6% CI
Away FT35.9%22.7%–51.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals59.0%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.6%
Away64.1%