Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 17:00
11.8451.8%
X3.6126.4%
24.3721.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
WWDWLDWLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Freiburg
WLDLDWWLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
2.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.20
Against
5.40
7.90
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
3.60
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.20goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.70
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.10goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.40
7.90
Match total
8.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
3.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.50
Match total
24.70

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
6.10
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.8%45.5%-6.3 pp
Draw26.4%29.5%+3.1 pp
Away21.8%25.0%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.570.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.7%
0-111.4%
2-111.4%
1-29.1%
2-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.025.07
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away64.3%