Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 14:30
12.0845.8%
X3.5426.9%
23.4927.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LLDDLLLLWW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Augsburg
WDLDLWWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.30
Against
5.50
9.50
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.90goals per match
Augsburg conceded1.50
Matchup

Augsburg attack

1.00goals per match
Mainz conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.50
9.50
Match total
8.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.50
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
27.30
Match total
25.30

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
3.20
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches133
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.8%44.4%-1.4 pp
Draw26.9%29.3%+2.4 pp
Away27.3%26.3%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.523.3%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.341.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-019.5%
1-118.0%
2-19.0%
0-16.8%
1-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.704.64
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=133.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.559.4%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.2%30.4%–58.9% CI
Draw FT30.2%18.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT25.6%14.9%–40.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.0%
2+ goals32.6%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.4%
Away46.5%