Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 17:30
11.6358.6%
X4.1922.8%
25.1218.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
WWWWWDLWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
M'gladbach
LWWLDDWDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.80
0.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.80
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
6.30N=10
3.70
Against
4.20
8.70
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

1.80goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.80
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.80goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.20
8.70
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.90
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
25.80
Match total
25.90

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
5.90
On target
5.90
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.6%51.4%-7.2 pp
Draw22.8%18.9%-3.9 pp
Away18.6%29.7%+11.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.570.3%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS62.2%

Historical average

1.841.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.5%
2-113.5%
1-010.8%
3-18.1%
2-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.413.92
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.527.0%
Over 11.516.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away54.5%