Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 14:30
11.1880.7%
X7.5712.6%
214.096.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bayern Munich
WWWDDWWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
FC Koln
DDWWDLWLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
3.70
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.50
90%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.10
1H goals
1.00
3.10
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
2.80
Against
4.60
11.60
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
5.20
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
3.70goals per matchFC Koln conceded1.50Matchup
FC Koln attack
0.90goals per matchBayern Munich conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
2.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
2.80
Corners against
4.60
11.60
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
21.70
Match total
23.90
Shots
18.00N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
8.30
On target
3.10
21%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.7%50.0%-30.7 pp
Draw12.6%41.7%+29.1 pp
Away6.8%8.3%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS33.3%
Historical average
1.83–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-025.0%
2-216.7%
3-38.3%
4-08.3%
1-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
7.00–3.00
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.54
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals7.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away38.5%