Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-21 · 14:30
15.0019.1%
X3.9624.1%
21.6856.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hertha
LLDLWDWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
RB Leipzig
DWLDDWWDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.60
2.00
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.80
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.10
Against
4.40
9.90
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hertha attack
1.10goals per matchRB Leipzig conceded1.10Matchup
RB Leipzig attack
1.60goals per matchHertha conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.40
9.90
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
27.30
Match total
25.50
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
5.40
On target
5.40
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches47
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.1%25.5%+6.4 pp
Draw24.1%23.4%-0.7 pp
Away56.8%51.1%-5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.538.3%
BTTS63.8%
Historical average
1.17–1.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.8%
1-110.6%
1-410.6%
1-08.5%
2-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.68–5.79
Average total9.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=47.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.523.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away56.3%