Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 14:30
11.6657.4%
X3.9624.0%
25.1218.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
DWDWDLWWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Mainz
LLLWLDLDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.90
Against
4.60
8.60
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
2.30
3.00
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.80goals per match
Mainz conceded2.30
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.10goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.60
8.60
Match total
7.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.20
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
25.20
Match total
25.00

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.90
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.4%59.7%+2.3 pp
Draw24.0%17.9%-6.1 pp
Away18.6%22.4%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.532.8%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

1.961.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.4%
3-19.0%
1-19.0%
2-09.0%
1-29.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.963.85
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.520.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away46.7%