Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 14:30
12.4638.8%
X3.1430.4%
23.0930.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
DLLDWWWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Union Berlin
DDWWLDWLLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
4.70
8.30
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.80
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

2.30goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.30
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.30goals per match
Freiburg conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.70
8.30
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.80
Match total
4.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
25.30
Match total
26.10

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.50
On target
3.60
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches197
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%41.1%+2.4 pp
Draw30.4%28.9%-1.4 pp
Away30.9%29.9%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.301.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
1-011.7%
2-110.2%
0-19.6%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.78
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=197.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.524.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.4%18.5%–38.6% CI
Draw FT42.5%31.8%–53.9% CI
Away FT30.1%20.8%–41.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.66

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals50.7%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.5%
Away60.3%