Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-13 · 17:30
11.7853.5%
X3.6326.2%
24.7020.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetUnion Berlin: 10/10 · Schalke 04: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2020/21 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Union Berlin
LWDWDDWDWD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Schalke 04
LLLDLDLLD
0W 3D 6L · 0.33 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
0.78
1.20
Conceded
3.33
60%
Over 2.5
89%
70%
BTTS
56%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.89
1.80
2H goals
2.22
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.22N=9
3.90
Against
6.44
8.50
Total
9.67
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=9
2.10
Goals scored
0.78
1.20
Goals conceded
3.33
3.30
Total goals
4.11
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Union Berlin attack
2.10goals per matchSchalke 04 conceded3.33Matchup
Schalke 04 attack
0.78goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=9
1.00
1H goals scored
0.44
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.44
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.33
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.89
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=9
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.22N=9
3.90
Corners against
6.44
8.50
Match total
9.67
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.33N=9
3.60
Match total
3.44
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
13.89N=9
23.30
Match total
25.33
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
9.22N=9
5.40
On target
1.89
16%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches124
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.5%60.5%+7.0 pp
Draw26.2%25.8%-0.4 pp
Away20.3%13.7%-6.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS49.2%
Historical average
1.70–0.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.3%
2-114.5%
1-111.3%
0-010.5%
2-010.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.33–4.26
Average total10.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=124.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.548.4%
Over 11.541.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.5%27.8%–56.6% CI
Draw FT46.3%32.1%–61.3% CI
Away FT12.2%5.3%–25.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.3%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals9.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.0%
Away29.3%