Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-13 · 14:30
11.4565.5%
X4.6820.3%
26.7014.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Current-season sample is not complete yetLeverkusen: 10/10 · Mainz: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2020/21 by default.
Include previous seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
DWWDWLDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Mainz
LLLWLDLDL
1W 2D 6L · 0.56 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
2.33
60%
Over 2.5
67%
80%
BTTS
67%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.22
1.90
2H goals
2.11
70%
Goal in 2H
89%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.00N=9
3.10
Against
4.89
8.00
Total
7.89
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/9 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/9 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/9 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=9
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
2.33
3.40
Total goals
3.33
80%8/10
Over 1.5
89%8/9
60%6/10
Over 2.5
67%6/9
40%4/10
Over 3.5
56%5/9
80%8/10
BTTS
67%6/9
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.10goals per match
Mainz conceded2.33
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.00goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=9
1.00
1H goals scored
0.56
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.67
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
67%6/9
40%4/10
Leading at HT
22%2/9
1.10
2H goals scored
0.44
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.67
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
89%8/9
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
56%5/9
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=9
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.00N=9
3.10
Corners against
4.89
8.00
Match total
7.89
30%3/10
Over 8.5
44%4/9
30%3/10
Over 9.5
33%3/9
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
11%1/9
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=9
3.70
Match total
3.89
50%5/10
Over 3.5
56%5/9

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
13.44N=9
25.10
Match total
24.44

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
10.33N=9
6.00
On target
3.33
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.5%68.8%+3.2 pp
Draw20.3%21.9%+1.6 pp
Away14.2%9.4%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS60.9%

Historical average

2.280.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.8%
3-110.9%
3-09.4%
0-09.4%
1-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.753.94
Average total10.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.559.4%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.535.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.6%31.7%–72.7% CI
Draw FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Away FT5.3%0.9%–24.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.2%
Away31.6%