Bundesliga · 2020/21
2021-02-13 · 14:30
11.4964.0%
X4.7120.3%
26.0715.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetDortmund: 9/10 · Hoffenheim: 10/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2020/21 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dortmund
WWWLLLWDW
5W 1D 3L · 1.78 PPM
Hoffenheim
WLDLDLWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.22
Scored
1.40
1.33
Conceded
2.10
78%
Over 2.5
80%
56%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.70
2.56
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.56N=9
For
4.70N=10
2.44
Against
4.80
8.00
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/9 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/9 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=10
2.22
Goals scored
1.40
1.33
Goals conceded
2.10
3.56
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dortmund attack
2.22goals per matchHoffenheim conceded2.10Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
1.40goals per matchDortmund conceded1.33Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=10
0.56
1H goals scored
0.60
0.44
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.67
2H goals scored
0.80
0.89
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=10
5.56N=9
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.44
Corners against
4.80
8.00
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.22N=9
For
2.20N=10
2.78
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.11N=9
Committed
13.70N=10
22.11
Match total
26.70
Shots
14.22N=9
Shots
13.40N=10
5.56
On target
5.20
16%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.0%66.7%+2.6 pp
Draw20.3%22.2%+2.0 pp
Away15.7%11.1%-4.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
1.83–0.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-027.8%
1-116.7%
3-111.1%
0-211.1%
2-111.1%
Comparable corner averages
8.11–3.94
Average total12.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.588.9%
Over 9.577.8%
Over 10.555.6%
Over 11.550.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away41.7%