Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 14:30
13.8624.8%
X3.5826.7%
21.9748.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Union Berlin
WWLWLDLDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Fortuna Dusseldorf
DLLLDWDDLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
2.30
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.10
Against
4.90
9.30
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.40
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Union Berlin attack
1.30goals per matchFortuna Dusseldorf conceded2.30Matchup
Fortuna Dusseldorf attack
0.90goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.90
9.30
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.00N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
28.00
Match total
23.40
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.40
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.8%21.9%-2.9 pp
Draw26.7%37.5%+10.8 pp
Away48.5%40.6%-7.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS65.6%
Historical average
1.25–1.59
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.8%
1-212.5%
2-29.4%
0-09.4%
1-09.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.16–5.97
Average total11.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.9%
Over 9.565.6%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.540.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.5%
Away53.8%