Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 14:30
11.3570.6%
X5.4617.5%
28.0211.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
WWWWDLWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Hertha
LDWWWDWDLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
2.30
2H goals
2.30
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.80
Against
6.30
8.80
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

2.30goals per match
Hertha conceded1.60
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.60goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.30
8.80
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.60
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
24.50
Match total
24.00

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
6.40
On target
4.20
16%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.6%80.0%+9.4 pp
Draw17.5%10.0%-7.5 pp
Away11.9%10.0%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.200.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-030.0%
3-010.0%
2-110.0%
2-210.0%
4-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.003.20
Average total9.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away40.0%