Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 14:30
11.2675.7%
X6.5414.6%
29.779.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
DWLWWWWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Mainz
WLWLWLDDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
2.20
1.50
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.70
1.90
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.80
Against
7.50
10.40
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
2.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.70
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.20goals per match
Mainz conceded1.40
Matchup

Mainz attack

2.20goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.80
Corners against
7.50
10.40
Match total
12.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.10
Match total
5.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
22.70
Match total
27.70

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
6.40
On target
4.90
14%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.7%63.6%-12.0 pp
Draw14.6%18.2%+3.6 pp
Away9.8%18.2%+8.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.581.8%
Over 3.563.6%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

2.550.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-118.2%
4-018.2%
3-09.1%
5-19.1%
0-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.823.45
Average total11.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.590.9%
Over 9.581.8%
Over 10.554.5%
Over 11.545.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away69.2%