Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 14:30
11.7355.1%
X4.4321.5%
24.0823.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WDWWWWWLWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Hoffenheim
LWWLDDDWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
2.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.40N=10
1.90
Against
6.30
7.50
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.00
3.50
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.80goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.00
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.50goals per match
Dortmund conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
1.90
Corners against
6.30
7.50
Match total
11.70
20%2/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.70
Match total
5.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
17.00
Match total
24.60

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
5.80
On target
4.30
19%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier C
Comparable matches10
Method1X2
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.1%60.0%+4.9 pp
Draw21.5%30.0%+8.5 pp
Away23.4%10.0%-13.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

1.800.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-020.0%
3-110.0%
4-010.0%
2-110.0%
3-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.406.20
Average total12.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.560.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away50.0%