Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 14:30
11.7355.1%
X4.4321.5%
24.0823.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dortmund
WDWWWWWLWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Hoffenheim
LWWLDDDWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.80
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.90
2.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.40N=10
1.90
Against
6.30
7.50
Total
11.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.00
3.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dortmund attack
2.80goals per matchHoffenheim conceded1.00Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
1.50goals per matchDortmund conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
1.90
Corners against
6.30
7.50
Match total
11.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.70
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.10N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
17.00
Match total
24.60
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
5.80
On target
4.30
19%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier C
Comparable matches10
Method1X2
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.1%60.0%+4.9 pp
Draw21.5%30.0%+8.5 pp
Away23.4%10.0%-13.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS40.0%
Historical average
1.80–0.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-020.0%
3-110.0%
4-010.0%
2-110.0%
3-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.40–6.20
Average total12.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.560.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away50.0%