Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 14:30
12.3241.1%
X3.6726.0%
22.9032.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
RB Leipzig
WWWDWDDDDD
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Dortmund
WWLWLWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
2.80
1.20
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
2.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.60
Against
2.50
11.20
Total
7.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
2.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
4.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
RB Leipzig attack
2.10goals per matchDortmund conceded1.20Matchup
Dortmund attack
2.80goals per matchRB Leipzig conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
2.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
2.50
11.20
Match total
7.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.70
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
21.10
Match total
17.70
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.60
On target
5.70
13%
Conversion
24%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%34.2%-6.9 pp
Draw26.0%26.3%+0.3 pp
Away32.9%39.5%+6.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS60.5%
Historical average
1.26–1.58
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-213.2%
2-110.5%
1-110.5%
1-010.5%
0-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.00–4.92
Average total10.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.563.2%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.544.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.3%
Away33.3%