Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 14:30
12.3241.1%
X3.6726.0%
22.9032.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
WWWDWDDDDD
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Dortmund
WWLWLWWWWW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
2.80
1.20
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
2.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.60
Against
2.50
11.20
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
2.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
4.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.10goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.20
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.80goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.50
2H goals scored
2.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
2.50
11.20
Match total
7.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.70
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
21.10
Match total
17.70

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.60
On target
5.70
13%
Conversion
24%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%34.2%-6.9 pp
Draw26.0%26.3%+0.3 pp
Away32.9%39.5%+6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS60.5%

Historical average

1.261.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.2%
2-110.5%
1-110.5%
1-010.5%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.004.92
Average total10.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.563.2%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.544.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away33.3%