Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 14:30
12.5537.4%
X3.5526.8%
22.6635.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LLLLDWDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Werder Bremen
WLLWLLDWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.50
1.80
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.80
0.90
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.80
Against
6.20
11.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
3.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.50goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.70
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.50goals per match
Mainz conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.10
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.20
11.30
Match total
9.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.40
Match total
5.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
22.30
Match total
27.80

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
2.90
On target
2.80
4%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%47.1%+9.8 pp
Draw26.8%20.0%-6.8 pp
Away35.8%32.9%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.491.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.9%
2-110.0%
1-010.0%
2-08.6%
3-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.195.10
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.1%
Away45.5%