Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 14:30
12.5537.4%
X3.5526.8%
22.6635.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mainz
LLLLDWDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Werder Bremen
WLLWLLDWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
1.50
1.80
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.80
0.90
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.80
Against
6.20
11.30
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mainz attack
0.50goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded1.70Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.50goals per matchMainz conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
1.10
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.20
11.30
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.40
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
22.30
Match total
27.80
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
2.90
On target
2.80
4%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%47.1%+9.8 pp
Draw26.8%20.0%-6.8 pp
Away35.8%32.9%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS51.4%
Historical average
1.49–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.9%
2-110.0%
1-010.0%
2-08.6%
3-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.19–5.10
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.532.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.64
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.1%
Away45.5%