Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 14:30
14.9919.1%
X4.2422.5%
21.6358.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hertha
WDLDLLDWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Leverkusen
LWWLWDWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.90
1.80
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
6.00N=10
4.90
Against
4.80
8.70
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.90
1.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.10goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.90goals per match
Hertha conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.80
8.70
Match total
10.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.00
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
21.80
Match total
21.50

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.10
On target
5.40
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.1%0.0%-19.1 pp
Draw22.5%45.5%+23.0 pp
Away58.4%54.5%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS36.4%

Historical average

0.551.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-018.2%
0-118.2%
2-218.2%
0-39.1%
1-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.557.00
Average total11.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.572.7%
Over 10.563.6%
Over 11.563.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away58.3%