Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 14:30
11.2675.7%
X6.5114.6%
29.839.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bayern Munich
LWWWDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Freiburg
LLDWLDLDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
3.10
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.40
2.20
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
8.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.50
Against
5.90
11.00
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
3.90
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
3.10goals per matchFreiburg conceded2.00Matchup
Freiburg attack
1.30goals per matchBayern Munich conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.90
11.00
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.60
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.90N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
17.30
Match total
21.80
Shots
19.70N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
8.90
On target
4.30
16%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.7%70.6%-5.1 pp
Draw14.6%17.6%+3.0 pp
Away9.7%11.8%+2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.588.2%
Over 3.564.7%
BTTS58.8%
Historical average
2.82–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-011.8%
4-011.8%
2-211.8%
3-211.8%
5-05.9%
Comparable corner averages
7.00–4.00
Average total11.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.582.4%
Over 9.570.6%
Over 10.552.9%
Over 11.541.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.92
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away69.2%