Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 14:30
11.2675.7%
X6.5114.6%
29.839.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bayern Munich
LWWWDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Freiburg
LLDWLDLDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

3.10
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.40
2.20
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
2.50
Against
5.90
11.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
3.90
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.10goals per match
Freiburg conceded2.00
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.30goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.90
11.00
Match total
10.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.60
Match total
3.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

7.90N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
17.30
Match total
21.80

Shots

19.70N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
8.90
On target
4.30
16%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.7%70.6%-5.1 pp
Draw14.6%17.6%+3.0 pp
Away9.7%11.8%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.2%
Over 2.588.2%
Over 3.564.7%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

2.821.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-011.8%
4-011.8%
2-211.8%
3-211.8%
5-05.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.004.00
Average total11.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.582.4%
Over 9.570.6%
Over 10.552.9%
Over 11.541.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away69.2%