Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-17 · 19:30
11.2675.7%
X6.2515.3%
210.559.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
DWDWWWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Mainz
LWLWLWLDDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

3.10
Scored
2.00
0.80
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
2.10
2.40
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.00
Against
7.10
7.90
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded
2.20
3.90
Total goals
4.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

3.10goals per match
Mainz conceded2.20
Matchup

Mainz attack

2.00goals per match
Dortmund conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
2.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.00
Corners against
7.10
7.90
Match total
12.10
30%3/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.20
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

7.50N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
15.80
Match total
26.70

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
6.00
On target
4.50
21%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home75.7%76.2%+0.5 pp
Draw15.3%14.3%-1.0 pp
Away9.0%9.5%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.547.6%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

2.480.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-114.3%
2-114.3%
3-09.5%
0-19.5%
2-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.294.43
Average total10.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.561.9%
Over 10.557.1%
Over 11.542.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals35.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.7%
Away52.9%