Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-16 · 19:30
11.6757.2%
X4.0623.5%
24.9519.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Union Berlin
WWWLWLDLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Paderborn
DWLWDLLDDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.20
20%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.00
Against
7.90
9.20
Total
13.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.30goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.20
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.00goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.90
9.20
Match total
13.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
27.00
Match total
19.90

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.40
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.2%53.3%-3.9 pp
Draw23.5%26.7%+3.1 pp
Away19.3%20.0%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS68.9%

Historical average

1.891.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.8%
1-113.3%
2-211.1%
2-011.1%
1-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.624.07
Average total10.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.564.4%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away43.8%