Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-14 · 14:30
12.3141.2%
X3.4527.6%
23.0631.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
WLLLLDWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Augsburg
WDWLLLLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.00
1.80
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.10
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.90
Against
5.60
11.30
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

0.70goals per match
Augsburg conceded1.90
Matchup

Augsburg attack

1.00goals per match
Mainz conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.60
11.30
Match total
10.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
22.40
Match total
21.30

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.30
On target
4.10
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches106
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%44.3%+3.1 pp
Draw27.6%34.9%+7.3 pp
Away31.1%20.8%-10.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.461.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
0-011.3%
1-011.3%
2-110.4%
2-09.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.764.71
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=106.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.5%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.539.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.4%19.1%–49.2% CI
Draw FT50.0%34.1%–65.9% CI
Away FT17.6%8.3%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away41.2%