Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-13 · 14:30
13.1230.6%
X3.7025.8%
22.1943.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paderborn
LLDWLLLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Werder Bremen
LWLLWLLDWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
2.50
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
6.80
Against
5.40
10.70
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
2.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.70
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.20goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.90
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.10goals per match
Paderborn conceded2.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
1.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
6.80
Corners against
5.40
10.70
Match total
9.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.10
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.20
Match total
27.10

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.00
On target
2.70
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.6%22.6%-8.0 pp
Draw25.8%32.3%+6.5 pp
Away43.6%45.2%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

0.971.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.1%
0-012.9%
1-212.9%
2-212.9%
1-09.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.715.55
Average total11.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.6%
Over 9.574.2%
Over 10.558.1%
Over 11.545.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away58.3%