Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-13 · 14:30
12.0446.7%
X3.4627.5%
23.7025.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
DWWWWLWDDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Union Berlin
LDLLLWWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.50
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.40
Against
5.90
10.00
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.50
3.50
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

2.10goals per match
Union Berlin conceded2.50
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.00goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.90
10.00
Match total
10.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
26.40
Match total
24.40

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
5.70
On target
4.10
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%30.2%-16.5 pp
Draw27.5%31.7%+4.2 pp
Away25.8%38.1%+12.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.221.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
1-211.1%
1-011.1%
0-19.5%
1-37.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.864.52
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.579.4%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.549.2%
Over 11.534.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away63.2%