Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-13 · 14:30
12.0446.7%
X3.4627.5%
23.7025.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
FC Koln
DWWWWLWDDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Union Berlin
LDLLLWWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.50
70%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.40
Against
5.90
10.00
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.50
3.50
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
FC Koln attack
2.10goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded2.50Matchup
Union Berlin attack
1.00goals per matchFC Koln conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.90
10.00
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.80
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
26.40
Match total
24.40
Shots
13.20N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
5.70
On target
4.10
16%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%30.2%-16.5 pp
Draw27.5%31.7%+4.2 pp
Away25.8%38.1%+12.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS60.3%
Historical average
1.22–1.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.9%
1-211.1%
1-011.1%
0-19.5%
1-37.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.86–4.52
Average total10.38
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.579.4%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.549.2%
Over 11.534.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.63
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals21.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.9%
Away63.2%