Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-12 · 19:30
16.4114.9%
X5.2118.3%
21.4366.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
LDLWLWLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
RB Leipzig
WWWDLDWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.70
2.70
Conceded
1.10
90%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
2.60
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.90
Against
5.10
11.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.70
2.70
Goals conceded
1.10
4.10
Total goals
3.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.40goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.70goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded2.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.50
1.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.10
11.00
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
20.20
Match total
20.60

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
16.80N=10
5.40
On target
6.20
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.9%27.3%+12.4 pp
Draw18.3%0.0%-18.3 pp
Away66.8%72.7%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.581.8%
Over 3.572.7%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

1.733.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-418.2%
2-79.1%
0-69.1%
1-09.1%
1-49.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.646.09
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away66.7%