Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-12 · 19:30
16.4114.9%
X5.2118.3%
21.4366.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hoffenheim
LDLWLWLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
RB Leipzig
WWWDLDWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
2.70
2.70
Conceded
1.10
90%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.60
2.60
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.90
Against
5.10
11.00
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.70
2.70
Goals conceded
1.10
4.10
Total goals
3.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
1.40goals per matchRB Leipzig conceded1.10Matchup
RB Leipzig attack
2.70goals per matchHoffenheim conceded2.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.50
1.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.10
11.00
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
20.20
Match total
20.60
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
16.80N=10
5.40
On target
6.20
10%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.9%27.3%+12.4 pp
Draw18.3%0.0%-18.3 pp
Away66.8%72.7%+6.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.581.8%
Over 3.572.7%
BTTS63.6%
Historical average
1.73–3.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-418.2%
2-79.1%
0-69.1%
1-09.1%
1-49.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.64–6.09
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.536.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.75
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.3%
Away66.7%