Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-06 · 17:30
11.3769.6%
X5.3217.9%
27.6812.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WDWDWWWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Hertha
DLLDWWWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

3.30
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
2.60
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
2.20
Against
6.00
8.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.30
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
4.10
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

3.30goals per match
Hertha conceded1.50
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.60goals per match
Dortmund conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
2.20
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
2.20
Corners against
6.00
8.20
Match total
10.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.40
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.00N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
17.00
Match total
24.20

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
6.50
On target
4.00
21%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.6%87.5%+17.9 pp
Draw17.9%6.3%-11.7 pp
Away12.4%6.3%-6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.556.3%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.810.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.8%
2-018.8%
3-112.5%
3-212.5%
2-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.443.94
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.3%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away25.0%