Bundesliga · 2019/20
2020-06-06 · 14:30
12.0546.6%
X3.6526.2%
23.5127.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ein Frankfurt
WWLDLWWLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Mainz
LLWLWLWLDD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.80
1.70
Conceded
2.30
80%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
2.00
2.60
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.20
Against
7.20
10.70
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.70
Goals conceded
2.30
4.10
Total goals
4.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ein Frankfurt attack

2.40goals per match
Mainz conceded2.30
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.80goals per match
Ein Frankfurt conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.20
Corners against
7.20
10.70
Match total
11.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.80
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
23.20
Match total
26.20

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
7.40
On target
4.10
14%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.6%75.0%+28.4 pp
Draw26.2%16.7%-9.5 pp
Away27.2%8.3%-18.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

2.080.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-116.7%
2-016.7%
1-016.7%
2-116.7%
2-216.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.334.17
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI
Draw FT40.0%21.9%–61.3% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away30.0%